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Balance of Power — 2026

Every race is allocated to whoever's ahead right now — Senate & Governor from live polling averages, the House nudged by the national generic ballot. Toss-up races still count for their leader; the color just shows how thin the lead is. Tap a state for its live race intelligence.

Live sentiment updated 10/6/2026, 8:09:26 AM
Rating changes
OHSafe DLean D· 2d agoAKToss-upLean D· 2d agoALLean RSafe R· 3d agoORLean RToss-up· 6d agoMSSafe RLean R· 6d agoOHLean DSafe D· 7d agoRISafe DLean D· 7d agoOHToss-upLean D· 11d agoKSLean RToss-up· 12d agoKSToss-upLean R· 12d agoVASafe DLean D· 12d agoTXLean RToss-up· 12d agoNHToss-upSafe R· 13d agoIAToss-upSafe D· 13d agoIALean RToss-up· 13d agoMAToss-upSafe D· 13d agoARLean RSafe R· 13d agoAKLean RToss-up· 13d agoMEToss-upSafe D· 13d agoTXToss-upLean R· 13d agoOHSafe DLean D· 2d agoAKToss-upLean D· 2d agoALLean RSafe R· 3d agoORLean RToss-up· 6d agoMSSafe RLean R· 6d agoOHLean DSafe D· 7d agoRISafe DLean D· 7d agoOHToss-upLean D· 11d agoKSLean RToss-up· 12d agoKSToss-upLean R· 12d agoVASafe DLean D· 12d agoTXLean RToss-up· 12d agoNHToss-upSafe R· 13d agoIAToss-upSafe D· 13d agoIALean RToss-up· 13d agoMAToss-upSafe D· 13d agoARLean RSafe R· 13d agoAKLean RToss-up· 13d agoMEToss-upSafe D· 13d agoTXToss-upLean R· 13d ago
ALAKAZCOFLGAINKSMEMAMNNJNCNDOKPASDTXWYCTMOWVILNMARCADEDCHIIAKYMDMIMSMTNHNYOHORTNUTVAWAWINESCIDNVVTLARI
Safe DLean DToss-upLean RSafe RNo race in 2026

Tap any colored state to open its live race intelligence.

Projected Senate — if held today

51 for majority
46
Democrat
54
Republican

Republicans would hold the majority if the election were held today. 3 seats are knife's-edge — counted for the current leader, shown by color only.

8 of 33 races on the ballot have live polling data; the rest are projected from the incumbent baseline.

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